The Identification of Natural Hazards Effective in the Urban Vulnerability (Case Study: Ardabil City)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 PhD in Geography and Urban Planning, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran

2 Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran

3 PhD in Geography and Urban Planning, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran

Abstract

Introduction: In order to reduce the vulnerability of settlements, it is necessary to identify the most important hazards in the region, including environmental hazards, in order to take necessary measures by resuscitating cities and reducing hazards and preventing their occurrence.
Objectives: The purpose of this article is to identify the most important natural hazards affecting the vulnerability of Ardabil.
Methodology: The present study is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in nature. The research approach is a hybrid and sequential exploratory model. The statistical population of the research is professors and experts of Ardabil City in this field. Qualitative data were obtained by purposive sampling method by 10 professors of Mohaghegh Ardabili University and quantitative data were obtained by snowball sampling method by 200 relevant specialists. Analysis of variance was used to analyze the data and evaluate the effect of variables in SmartPLS software.
Geographical Context: The geographical territory of the present study is the city of Ardabil.
Result and Discussion: Qualitative and quantitative research findings showed that 9 research variables (natural hazards) explain the vulnerability of Ardabil city by 0.824. The highest t-statistic and the highest path coefficient are related to the variables of extreme cold and frost, earthquake, wind and storm hazards.
Conclusion: The results showed that among the natural hazards, severe cold and frost, earthquake, wind and storm, heavy snow and extreme heat are the most important hazards in Ardabil. In this regard, this study clarifies by identifying and planning on natural hazards and its explanatory variables, in addition to reducing the vulnerability of the city, managers can also provide the basis for urban resilience.

Keywords

References

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Geographical Engineering of Territory
Volume 5, Issue 2 - Serial Number 10
September 2021
Pages 283-296

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History

  • Receive Date: 07 September 2019
  • Accept Date: 26 May 2021

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