Geographical Engineering of Territory

Geographical Engineering of Territory

Identifying the drivers influencing the realization of a creative city with a future studies and scenario-based approach (Case study: Tabriz metropolis)

Authors
1 Ph.D. Student, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran
3 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran
10.22034/jget.2025.487349.1590
Abstract
Introduction: Creative cities are cities that are able to provide new solutions to their everyday problems.

Purpose of the research: Considering the numerous issues and problems of today's cities and the necessity of creativity-oriented urban planning in the heart of these cities, the present study was written with the aim of identifying the drivers affecting the realization of a creative city in Tabriz metropolis with a future studies and scenario-oriented approach.

Methodology: The research method in this study is mixed (quantitative-qualitative) with an applied purpose and an analytical-exploratory nature, which in order to analyze the information, were used the technique of cross-effects analysis in MICMAC software and interaction effects analysis in Scenario Wizard software. Also, the information in this study was collected using the Delphi method of experts (15 elites and an urban manager).

Geographical area of research: Tabriz, the capital of East Azarbaijan Province, is one of the largest cities in Iran. It is the largest city in the northwest region of the country and is known as the administrative, communication, commercial, political, industrial, and cultural hub of the region.

Result and Discussion: The research findings show that the greatest impact in the realization system of the Creative City of Tabriz is related to the drivers of identifying influential individuals, establishing interaction with elites, the role of facilitating organizations, strengthening and nurturing creativity, fundamental innovations, and financial incentives. The greatest impact is also related to the drivers of identifying influential individuals, social capacity building, realizing civil society, psychological factors, strengthening and nurturing creativity, and attitudinal, behavioral, and environmental dimensions.

Conclusion: The results show that there are 5 scenarios with very high scores and a higher probability of occurrence in line with the realization of the Creative City of Tabriz. In the first scenario, all situations are favorable, and in the second scenario, all possible situations are neutral with an emphasis on the continuation of the current trend. The fourth scenario is an intermediate state, and the fifth scenario emphasizes the worsening of the situation.
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  • Receive Date 06 November 2024
  • Revise Date 22 July 2025
  • Accept Date 23 July 2025
  • Publish Date 23 August 2026